Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(550 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,208.4}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(2,208.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $104$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(20.1 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.8}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.1)}}\) (asimptote \(103.8\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $15$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $45,133$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.24 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{47,430.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 67.7)}}\) (asimptote \(47,430.3\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,694$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(565 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(26.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,619.7}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 46.5)}}\) (asimptote \(4,619.7\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $40,439$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,561$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.56 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(49.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,209.9}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 31.9)}}\) (asimptote \(8,209.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $239$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(67.1 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(40.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{232.5}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(232.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $184$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,001$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.09 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,949.8}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.3)}}\) (asimptote \(6,949.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $323$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(59.7 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(28.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{318.1}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 35.3)}}\) (asimptote \(318.1\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $878$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,162$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.47 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,849.2}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 41.1)}}\) (asimptote \(11,849.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $593$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(143 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{570.6}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 32.5)}}\) (asimptote \(570.6\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $577$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,807$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(641 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(54.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,803.2}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,803.2\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(4.17 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(54.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $59,348$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.14 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(35.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57,306.9}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 41.3)}}\) (asimptote \(57,306.9\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,606$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.86 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,286.3}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9,286.3\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,427$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $288,834$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.3 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{286,041.6}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 52.4)}}\) (asimptote \(286,041.6\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $40,680$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(5.96 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{38,831.4}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 43.4)}}\) (asimptote \(38,831.4\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $246,899$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $235,278$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(5.18 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{229,064.6}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 42.5)}}\) (asimptote \(229,064.6\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,964$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(6.54 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,853.6}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 44.7)}}\) (asimptote \(32,853.6\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,730$ on 2020-06-08
